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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">bsuir</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Доклады БГУИР</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Doklady BGUIR</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1729-7648</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2708-0382</issn><publisher><publisher-name>БГУИР</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.35596/1729-7648-2026-24-1-21-29</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">bsuir-4294</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Вероятностные характеристики спектральной эффективности нисходящих радиоканалов в макросайтах систем мобильной радиосвязи 5G</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Probabilistic Characteristics of the Downlink Radio Channels Spectral Efficiency in Macro-Sites of 5G Mobile Communications</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мордачев</surname><given-names>В. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mordachev</surname><given-names>V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Минск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mordachev Vladimir - Сand. Sci. (Tech.), Associate Professor, Head of the R&amp;D Laboratory “Electromagnetic Compatibility of Radioelectronic Equipment”</p><p>220013, Minsk, P. Brovki St., 6</p><p>Tel.: +375 17 293-84-38 </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">mordachev@bsuir.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Белорусский государственный университет информатики и радиоэлектроники</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Belarusian State University of Informatics and Radioelectronics</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>04</day><month>03</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>24</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>21</fpage><lpage>29</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Мордачев В.И., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Мордачев В.И.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Mordachev V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://doklady.bsuir.by/jour/article/view/4294">https://doklady.bsuir.by/jour/article/view/4294</self-uri><abstract><p>Разработаны математические модели для анализа вероятностных характеристик спектральной эффективности нисходящих радиоканалов в макросайтах систем мобильной (сотовой) радиосвязи, выполнены оценки вероятностных распределений и средних значений потенциальной и реальной спектральной эффективности нисходящих радиоканалов для различных вариантов типовых сценариев IMT-2020 “Rural-eMBB”, “Urban Macro–mMTC” и “Urban Macro–URLLC”. Полученные модели и оценки учитывают случайность местоположения абонентских терминалов на территории макросайта и возможность присутствия в нем областей как свободного, так и интерференционного (многолучевого) распространения радиоволн между базовой станцией и абонентскими терминалами. Эти результаты позволяют сделать вывод о реализуемости деклараций новых поколений мобильной радиосвязи в части повышения спектральной эффективности радиоканалов в процессе эволюции 4G→5G→6G.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Mathematical models for the analysis of probabilistic characteristics of the spectral efficiency of downlink radio channels in macro-sites of mobile (cellular) radio communications have been developed, and estimates of the probability distributions and average values of the potential and real spectral efficiency of downlink radio channels have been made for various variants of the typical IMT-2020 scenarios “Rural-eMBB”, “Urban Macro–mMTC” and “Urban Macro–URLLC”. Obtained models and estimates take into account the randomness of the user’s equipment distribution on the macro-site territory and the possibility of user’s equipment location in areas of both free and interference (multi-ray) propagation of radio waves between the base station and user’s equipment. These results allow us to conclude that the declarations of new generations of mobile communications in terms of increasing the spectral efficiency of radio channels at the 4G→5G→6G evolution are feasible.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>мобильная (сотовая) связь</kwd><kwd>5G</kwd><kwd>eMBB</kwd><kwd>mMTC</kwd><kwd>URLLC</kwd><kwd>спектральная эффективность</kwd><kwd>базовая станция</kwd><kwd>абонентский терминал</kwd><kwd>нисходящий радиоканал</kwd><kwd>распределение вероятности</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>mobile (cellular) communications</kwd><kwd>5G</kwd><kwd>eMBB</kwd><kwd>mMTC</kwd><kwd>URLLC</kwd><kwd>spectrum efficiency</kwd><kwd>base station</kwd><kwd>user’s equipment</kwd><kwd>downlink radio channel</kwd><kwd>probability distribution</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Mordachev V. I. 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