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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">bsuir</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Доклады БГУИР</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Doklady BGUIR</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1729-7648</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2708-0382</issn><publisher><publisher-name>БГУИР</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.35596/1729-7648-2021-19-7-106-109</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">bsuir-3214</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>КРАТКИЕ СООБЩЕНИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>SHORT NOTES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Определение влияния предикторов и вероятности развития отслойки сетчатки у детей на основании анализа отношения шансов</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Determination of the influence of predictors and the probability of retinal detachment in children based on the analysis of the odds ratio</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сущеня</surname><given-names>Г. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sushchenia</surname><given-names>H. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Сущеня Г.А., врач-офтальмолог отделения детской офтальмологии учреждения здравоохранения</p><p>220131, Республика Беларусь, Минская область, пос. Лесной, 40</p><p>тел. +375-17-265-17-07  </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Suschenia H.A., Doctor аt the Department of Pediatric Ophthalmology of the Health care Institution</p><p>220131, Minsk region, Lesnoy vill., 40</p><p> info@modk.by</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">info@modk.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Минская областная детская клиническая больница</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Minsk Regional Children's Clinical Hospital</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2021</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>25</day><month>11</month><year>2021</year></pub-date><volume>19</volume><issue>7</issue><fpage>106</fpage><lpage>109</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Сущеня Г.А., 2021</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2021</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Сущеня Г.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Sushchenia H.A.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://doklady.bsuir.by/jour/article/view/3214">https://doklady.bsuir.by/jour/article/view/3214</self-uri><abstract><p>Проведен анализ влияния предикторов на вероятность развития отслойки сетчатки у детей Минского региона на основании исследования медицинской документации 660 пациентов детского возраста, пролеченных в учреждениях здравоохранения «4-я детская городская клиническая больница» и «Минская областная детская клиническая больница» за период 2009–2019 гг. Из них 313 пациентов были старше 1 года с установленным диагнозом отслойки сетчатки, 107 детей в возрасте до 1 года, 240 детей старше 1 года без отслойки сетчатки на момент обращения и наличием предикторов ее развития (группа сравнения). Для оценки влияния факторов использовали методику, основанную на расчете отношения шансов. Наиболее значимым факторам риска присваивался балльный эквивалент от одного до четырех, что позволило количественно определить вероятность развития отслойки сетчатки и выделить группы риска в зависимости от общей суммы баллов. Применение предложенного способа позволило у детей группы сравнения выявить изменения витреоретинального интерфейса, которые потребовали проведения первичного лазерного профилактического лечения в 46,7% случаев (113 глаз) в течение трехлетнего периода наблюдения, у 45,4% детей (109 глаз) проводилось только динамическое наблюдение. Предотвратить развитие отслойки сетчатки удалось у 95,0% детей группы сравнения.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The analysis of the influence of predictors on the probability of retinal detachment in children of the Minsk region was carried out on the basis of a study of the medical records of 660 children's patients treated at the Health care Institutions "4th Children's City Clinical Hospital" and “Minsk Regional Children's Clinical Hospital” for the period 2009–2019. Of these, 313 patients were older than 1 year with an established diagnosis of retinal detachment, 107 children under the age of 1 year, 240 children older than 1 year without retinal detachment at the time of treatment and the presence of predictors of its development (comparison group). To assess the influence of factors, a methodology based on the calculation of the odds ratio was used. The most significant risk factors were assigned a score equivalent from one to four, which allowed quantifying the probability of retinal detachment and identifying risk groups depending on the total score. The use of the proposed method allowed the children of the comparison group to identify changes in the vitreoretinal interface, which required primary laser preventive treatment in 46.7% of cases (113 eyes) during the three-year follow-up period, in 45.4% of children (109 eyes) it was limited only to dynamic observation without treatment. In 95.0% of children in the comparison group, it was possible to prevent the development of retinal detachment.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>предикторы</kwd><kwd>диагностика</kwd><kwd>отслойка сетчатки у детей</kwd><kwd>отношение шансов</kwd><kwd>вероятность развития</kwd><kwd>превентивное лазерное лечение</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>predictors</kwd><kwd>diagnostics</kwd><kwd>retinal detachment in children</kwd><kwd>odds ratio</kwd><kwd>probability of development</kwd><kwd>preventive laser treatment</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Wang N.K, Chen Y.P, Lai C.C, Chen T.L, Yang K.J, Kuo Y.H, Chao A.N, Wu W.C, Chen K.J, Hwang Y.S, Yeung L., Liu L. Pаediatric retinal detachment: comparison of high myopia and extreme myopia. Br J. 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