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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">bsuir</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Доклады БГУИР</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Doklady BGUIR</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1729-7648</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2708-0382</issn><publisher><publisher-name>БГУИР</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.35596/1729-7648-2021-19-2-58-64</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">bsuir-3035</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭЛЕКТРОНИКА, РАДИОФИЗИКА, РАДИОТЕХНИКА, ИНФОРМАТИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ELECTRONICS, RADIOPHYSICS, RADIOENGINEERING, INFORMATICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Тotal probability formula for vector Gaussian distributions</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Тotal probability formula for vector Gaussian distributions</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Mukha</surname><given-names>V. S.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mukha</surname><given-names>V. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>D.Sc., Professor, Professor at the Department of Information Technologies of Automated Systems</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mukha Vladimir Stepanovich - D.Sc., Professor, Professor at the Department of Information Technologies of Automated Systems</p><p>220013, Minsk, P. Brovka str., 6</p><p>+375-44-781-16-51</p><p> </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">mukha@bsuir.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Kako</surname><given-names>N. F.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kako</surname><given-names>N. F.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Postgraduate student </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Postgraduate student of the Belarusian State University of Informatics and Radioelectronics</p><p> </p><p> </p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Belarusian State University of Informatics and Radioelectronics</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Belarusian State University of Informatics and Radioelectronics</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2021</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>26</day><month>03</month><year>2021</year></pub-date><volume>19</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>58</fpage><lpage>64</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Mukha V.S., Kako N.F., 2021</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2021</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Mukha V.S., Kako N.F.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Mukha V.S., Kako N.F.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://doklady.bsuir.by/jour/article/view/3035">https://doklady.bsuir.by/jour/article/view/3035</self-uri><abstract><p>The total probability formula for continuous random variables is the integral of product of two probability density functions that defines the unconditional probability density function from the conditional one. The need for calculation of such integrals arises in many applications, for instant, in statistical decision theory. The statistical decision theory attracts attention due to the ability to formulate the problems in a strict mathematical form. One of the technical problems solved by the statistical decision theory is the problem of dual control that requires calculation of integrals connected with the multivariate probability distributions. The necessary integrals are not available in the literature. One theorem on the total probability formula for vector Gaussian distributions was published by the authors earlier. In this paper we repeat this theorem and prove a new theorem that uses more familiar form of the initial data and has more familiar form of the result. The new form of the theorem allows us to obtain the unconditional mathematical expectation and the unconditional variance-covariance matrix very simply. We also confirm the new theorem by direct calculation for the case of the simple linear regression.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The total probability formula for continuous random variables is the integral of product of two probability density functions that defines the unconditional probability density function from the conditional one. The need for calculation of such integrals arises in many applications, for instant, in statistical decision theory. The statistical decision theory attracts attention due to the ability to formulate the problems in a strict mathematical form. One of the technical problems solved by the statistical decision theory is the problem of dual control that requires calculation of integrals connected with the multivariate probability distributions. The necessary integrals are not available in the literature. One theorem on the total probability formula for vector Gaussian distributions was published by the authors earlier. In this paper we repeat this theorem and prove a new theorem that uses more familiar form of the initial data and has more familiar form of the result. The new form of the theorem allows us to obtain the unconditional mathematical expectation and the unconditional variance-covariance matrix very simply. We also confirm the new theorem by direct calculation for the case of the simple linear regression.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>total probability formula</kwd><kwd>vector Gaussian distribution</kwd><kwd>multivariate integrals</kwd><kwd>multivariate regression</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Berger J.O. Statistical decision theory and bayesian analysis. New York: Springer-Verlag; 1985.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Berger J.O. Statistical decision theory and bayesian analysis. 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