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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">bsuir</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Доклады БГУИР</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Doklady BGUIR</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1729-7648</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2708-0382</issn><publisher><publisher-name>БГУИР</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">bsuir-194</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ИНФОРМАЦИОННОЕ И МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКОЕ МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ НАДЕЖНОСТИ ПРОФЕССИОНАЛЬНОЙ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТИ ОПЕРАТОРОВ</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>INFORMATIONAL AND MATHEMATICAL SIMULATION OF THE OPERATOR PROFESSIONAL RELIABILITY</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Давыдовский</surname><given-names>А. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Davidovsky</surname><given-names>A. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ел-Грейд</surname><given-names>М. ..</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>El-Greyd</surname><given-names>M. ..</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Яшин</surname><given-names>К. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Yashin</surname><given-names>K. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Осипович</surname><given-names>В. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Osipovich</surname><given-names>V. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пилиневич</surname><given-names>Л. П.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pilinevich</surname><given-names>L. P.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Гедранович</surname><given-names>Ю. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Hedranovych</surname><given-names>Yu. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Томашевич</surname><given-names>Е. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tomashevich</surname><given-names>E. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff xml:lang="ru" id="aff-1"><institution>Белорусский государственный университет информатики и радиоэлектроники</institution><country>Belarus</country></aff><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2013</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>03</day><month>06</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>79</fpage><lpage>84</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Давыдовский А.Г., Ел-Грейд М..., Яшин К.Д., Осипович В.С., Пилиневич Л.П., Гедранович Ю.А., Томашевич Е.В., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Давыдовский А.Г., Ел-Грейд М..., Яшин К.Д., Осипович В.С., Пилиневич Л.П., Гедранович Ю.А., Томашевич Е.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Davidovsky A.G., El-Greyd M..., Yashin K.D., Osipovich V.S., Pilinevich L.P., Hedranovych Y.A., Tomashevich E.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://doklady.bsuir.by/jour/article/view/194">https://doklady.bsuir.by/jour/article/view/194</self-uri><abstract><p>Разработаны информационная и математическая модели оценки риска снижения надежности профессиональной деятельности операторского персонала опасных производств. Предложен метод математического прогнозирования риска снижения надежности операторов.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Information and mathematical models for risk assessment of reduced reliability professional personnel carrier hazardous industries are developed. A method of mathematical prognosis risk of reduced reliability of operators are proposed.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>оператор</kwd><kwd>надежность</kwd><kwd>риск</kwd><kwd>прогнозирование</kwd><kwd>информационная модель</kwd><kwd>математическая модель</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Душков Б.А., Ломов Б.Ф., Смирнов Б.А. Хрестоматия по инженерной психологии. М., 1991.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Душков Б.А., Ломов Б.Ф., Смирнов Б.А. Хрестоматия по инженерной психологии. 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